stationary process


Def:

Time series {} is stationary if only if:

  • is independent of t, mean does not change over time

  • is independent of t, variance does not change over time
  • is independent of t for each h, the correlation for observation between the same time lag(h) does not change. note: the correlation is ok depend on h, or how long apart the observation are.
Remarks: The key characteristics of the stationary time series do not change over time, which makes it easy to model and predict:

White noise:

  • White noise is stationary

Backward Shift Operator B:


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